109 years after Titanic sank: What if she sank today?

109 years after Titanic sank: What if she sank today?
109 years after Titanic sank: What if she sank today?

At a recent webinar hosted by Navigate Response with speakers including David Jardine-Smith (International Maritime Rescue Federation), Dustin Eno, (Navigate Response), Georgios Hatzimanolis (MarineTraffic), Richard Turner (International Union of Marine Insurance) and Genevieve Holloway (UK P&I Club), discussion focused on what has been changed 109 years on from the Titanic disaster and how the situation would have been handled in the modern world.

The records are unclear on the number of Titanic fatalities, but it is widely thought that more than 1,500 souls were lost from a total crew and passenger tally of 2,224. For a vessel that was declared to be unsinkable it is no surprise that the legacy of Titanic remains with us today.

Modern passenger vessels are significantly larger than Titanic and sadly maritime accidents will continue to happen, but none in recent times have resulted in such a high death toll. Costa Concordia, for example, was carrying twice as many people but only 32 perished. The loss of 32 lives is tragic and the circumstances of Costa Concordia’s capsize were very different to Titanic’s, but what has changed in the 109 years since the ship was lost?

Significantly, a raft of regulations are now in place to govern the safety of passenger vessels and to ensure crew are adequately trained to respond. SOLAS was born from Titanic’s loss and the convention has been strengthened and enhanced periodically since then. Preparedness to carry out a mass rescue at sea has been improved. The aim is to bring together and exercise all relevant responders and ensure that plans, resources, command and control activities, and communications are in place and ready. Although there have been significant steps taken, performing a mass rescue in similar circumstances to Titanic would still be a major challenge, even in today’s modern world. Picking up large numbers of people at sea, caring for them while they are taken to a place of safety and making sure that responding agencies are ready to receive them there are still major tasks, requiring careful planning and effective inter-agency communication.

Today, a tragedy of Titanic’s proportions would attract sensational media headlines across the world, yet it didn’t back in 1912. Early breaking media stories in northern Europe and North America reported the vessel safe and under tow to Halifax, Nova Scotia. It was some 36 hours later that the mood darkened as headlines recorded the vessel as sunk. In newspapers remote from Titanic’s starting and end ports, the news wasn’t thought important enough to make it onto the front pages. Today, news moves rapidly, and society is more connected. A Titanic story would make global headlines and probably within minutes of the tragedy unfolding. As in 1912, initial reporting is likely to be inaccurate but as the saying goes – news is “never wrong for long”.

In the current context, passengers, crew and rescuers would immediately film, record and share pictures, videos and messages on social platforms. And if close to shore – as with Costa Concordia – bystanders would instantly become ‘amateur’ journalists. Added to this, the array of online vessel tracking solutions makes a maritime incident transparent and visible, encouraging comment and speculation from all quarters. Consequently, the media would be awash with armchair experts and sleuths, all eager to give their opinions.

Marine underwriters tell us that the chances of a vessel suffering a total loss in the very early 1900s was around 1%. Today that risk has dropped to 0.05%. Titanic was insured for £1 million (£115 million in today’s money) and the premium levied was 0.75%. Such was the hype surrounding the vessel’s unsinkability that the market felt able to charge a premium that was less than the probability of the vessel being lost. More than 60 London insurers were involved in underwriting the risk and many of those are still in business to this day.

Interestingly, vessels today are insured in roughly the same way as they were in Titanic’s day – through co-insurance and with much of the physical risk being covered by H&M underwriters and the liabilities being taken by the P&I Clubs. The difference, however, is that underwriters have developed expertise and have many more tools at their disposal to more accurately assess and price risk. Safety has unquestionably improved, and lessons are learnt each time a major incident occurs, but human error is still considered to be the primary cause of many marine casualties.

H&M insurance paid out the full £1 million on the Titanic claim and P&I paid a further US$665,000 to families who had lost loved ones. Today, improvements to insurance cover make it easier for individuals to claim for losses and damages although in some jurisdictions passenger vessel operators have the ability to impose limits. This gives operators more certainty as claims can be both limited and time-barred. But in some regions, such as the US, no limits of liability are set and punitive damages may also be awarded.

And so, 109 years on from the loss of what is probably the world’s best-known ship, a lot has changed, but much has also stayed constant. The way we insure maritime risk and protect passengers’ interests has significantly improved, but is largely unchanged at its core. Undoubtedly ships are safer and that is a result of better design, regulation, and enhanced training. And we are much better prepared to respond to a major incident at sea. But should the worst happen today, the world will be watching, reporting and commentating on every decision taken and every action undertaken.

Download the pdf presentation: Titanic if she sank today

Read another passenger carrier related article: New safety requirements for local pleasure vessels in Hong Kong

Latest Tweets from the IIMS